Stochastic modelling of the transmission of endemic malaria with analysis of field data

Abstract

A critical review of some current malaria models is given in which a new model of superinfection is presented. An alternative malaria model, partly stochastic and party deterministic, is then proposed and results of the simulation of the model are discussed. Simplified versions of the model are used to analyse longitudinal survey data from a World Health Organization malaria project, carried out in Northern Nigeria.